...two reminder posts: here's how Level 4's are calculated (they kinda aren't) and here's how holding PARCC schools harmless messes with levels. Note that this will be compounded this year, as even more schools have moved to PARCC and thus are being held harmless with regards to test scores.
As we know the Commissioner intends to announce new Level 4 schools tomorrow, then, I'd venture to guess this: those schools are either schools that took MCAS (they aren't being held harmless), or they're secondary schools (because high schools have their graduation and dropout rates count towards their CPI, so they could slip for other reasons).
We'll know at 5 pm tomorrow.
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