Monday, May 7, 2018

The Senate budget comes out Thursday

What are we looking for?
Personally, I'm curious if we get anywhere on formatting, because if the Department of Revenue can do this:
...then surely the Legislature could work something out where we could run comparisons?

The Senate is generally regarded as most generous, partly because they go last and have the most updated revenue information. It's hard to imagine that this year will be different.

The biggest question, in part because it's the biggest account school-side, is what they'll do with Chapter 70 and the foundation budget. The Senate did pass FBRC language as part of last year's budget; it failed in conference committee. It wouldn't surprise me to see that again. As far as implementation (remembering that the FBRC bill language essentially starts with the next budget, with an implementation meeting, parallel to the revenue setting meeting), will the Senate do more than the House? And will they stay with health insurance or will they move towards implementation in another piece? And what happens with economically disadvantaged? Do they stay with the cut of the deciles?
And what happens with the $12.5M pothole the House put in (with somewhat vague language) for the districts hit by the economically disadvantaged change (which one? which year?). 
This is totally my opinion (of course), but I can't see the Senate raising the minimum per pupil amount. As much as they sign the annual letter, too, they also get that it's totally unprogressive, and if they're going to fund something, they should fund some actual problem solving. But, that's just me guessing.
In regional transportation, do they match the $2M up from the Governor's budget or do more?
This close to the passage of their version of the supplemental, and with some very direct language around the FY19 budget as part of deliberation there, the two accounts to watch are circuit breaker and charter school reimbursement. On these plus transportation plus Chapter 70 itself, there is a clear sense in the Senate that they made a commitment as a state to these things, and they need to fulfill it. 
And I don't disagree.
I have some liveblogging to do Thursday, but Senate budget analysis as soon as I have a moment! 


No comments: