Some recent useful reporting on this coming year--and in some cases, even this year, and in all cases, beyond next year's--school budgets:
I've added "geopolitical forces" to my "impacts on future budgets" slide for school district presentations. While this was always true, oil prices show up multiple places in school budgets (not just the buses!), and I'm glad the Boston Globe captured that.“The bottom line is there’s no wiggle room on municipal budgets almost across the board,” he added. “Any time there is a cost driver that exceeds the rate of revenue growth, yeah, it’s very concerning.”
This lengthy piece by Sam Drysdale at State House News (sharing there via WWLP 22) takes a hard look at declining enrollment and what the means for the state.
On paper, declining enrollment should mean less state aid. In practice, Massachusetts’ funding formula cushions districts from those losses.
Overall Chapter 70 aid increased to $7.66 billion in fiscal 2027, up 4.03%, even as enrollment fell.
No district receives less Chapter 70 aid than it received the previous year, and every district is guaranteed at least its prior-year aid plus $160 per pupil in fiscal 2027. As a result, only 62 districts are receiving aid driven directly by the formula’s enrollment and need calculations; most are receiving hold-harmless funding plus minimum aid.
Lewis said that is itself evidence the formula needs attention.
“The high number of communities in held harmless is actually one of the clear signs that we need to be reviewing our funding formula again,” he said. “The formula is basically broken for many communities.”
Yet there is a fundamental question about what the formula can realistically accomplish.
Howgate said the state cannot simply create a funding formula that pays districts for having fewer students.
“I don’t think we’re going to be able to come up with a formula to give districts money for fewer kids,” he said.
(and cheers to Sam for correctly capturing hold harmless there!)
